Monday, July 6, 2009

Tour de France 2009 - Stage 3

Stage 3 - Marseille - La Grande-Motte 196.5 km

A sprinters stage if ever I saw one.

From Marseille the riders head inland, two small cat 4 climbs, both under 2km in length) and three intermediate sprints before heading back to the coast for the final 60km or so.

Its under 200km, its flat and the final kilometer is straight and flat.
Its a bunch sprint finish!

And my ever so bold prediction?

Cavendish to win again.

Betting?
Cavendish is $1.65 to win / $1.25 to finish top 3.
no value but probably a safe bet to win!

I liked the way Milram got working in stage 2 trying to put Ciolek into the race, he was 6th, however here he might go better, i think that $6.00 for a top 3 finish is value and we will save on Hushovd for top 3 as well at $2.60 .


2 comments:

  1. We landed the first wining bets of the tour here!

    3 bets last night
    Cavendish to win $1.65
    Hushovd for top 3 $2.60
    missed on the $6.00 for Ciolek to be top 3.

    Out = $30.

    In = $16.50 + 26.00 = $42.50

    Stage 3 profit = $12.50

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